Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.102279 0.120156 0.140135 0.164105 0.192074 0.223670 0.262068
2025-12-07 0.075387 0.098278 0.126526 0.163899 0.212012 0.271836 0.351863
2025-12-14 0.058327 0.082309 0.114217 0.159680 0.222711 0.306940 0.428013
2025-12-21 0.048056 0.072396 0.106850 0.159021 0.235875 0.344797 0.510803
2025-12-28 0.042255 0.067356 0.104838 0.164646 0.257464 0.395801 0.617461
2026-01-04 0.037899 0.063548 0.103721 0.170889 0.280081 0.450267 0.735334
2026-01-11 0.033931 0.059597 0.101595 0.174884 0.299180 0.500964 0.852886
2026-01-18 0.030046 0.055110 0.097832 0.175413 0.312271 0.543004 0.960752
2026-01-25 0.025833 0.049376 0.091089 0.169752 0.313783 0.565433 1.037421
2026-02-01 0.022063 0.043858 0.083924 0.162241 0.310796 0.579275 1.099923
2026-02-08 0.019441 0.040106 0.079437 0.158962 0.314907 0.605835 1.187970
2026-02-15 0.017082 0.036517 0.074764 0.154644 0.316350 0.627321 1.268458
2026-02-22 0.015627 0.034696 0.073575 0.157616 0.333572 0.682981 1.426488
2026-03-01 0.013990 0.032265 0.070871 0.157241 0.344266 0.727734 1.569814
2026-03-08 0.012259 0.029343 0.066709 0.153164 0.346618 0.755826 1.682379
2026-03-15 0.011036 0.027371 0.064301 0.152526 0.356208 0.799995 1.834484
2026-03-22 0.010388 0.026645 0.064563 0.157926 0.379897 0.877183 2.068454
2026-03-29 0.009836 0.026060 0.065060 0.163920 0.405705 0.962065 2.330247
2026-04-05 0.009202 0.025165 0.064686 0.167755 0.426890 1.038919 2.582906
2026-04-12 0.008448 0.023838 0.063063 0.168263 0.440036 1.098553 2.801948
2026-04-19 0.007482 0.021785 0.059315 0.162828 0.437590 1.120576 2.931922
2026-04-26 0.006551 0.019677 0.055121 0.155618 0.429594 1.127954 3.026091
2026-05-03 0.005902 0.018264 0.052576 0.152470 0.431856 1.161315 3.191006